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Mexico government fears wave of deportees under Trump could swell ranks of drug cartels

November 16, 2016  |  Posted by: Francesca Falzarano
Mexico government fears wave of deportees under Trump could swell ranks of drug cartels

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As the Mexican government prepares for the return of millions of deportees once President-elect Donald Trump assumes office in January, some warn many who return to Mexico are likely to cause trouble and could possibly join the ranks of drug cartels.

The former chief of international operations for the U.S. DEA stated: “What’s going to happen is that these deportees are going to return to Mexico, and they have no jobs, so they are going to feed the ranks of the cartels.”

In 2012, the U.S. government determined that approximately 1.9 million immigrants have criminal records and may face deportation, with 820,000 of those are illegally in the U.S.

Under Trump’s proposals, the Mexican government fears many of the unemployed deportees will end up increasing the ranks of drug cartels, causing more violence.

Vigil also noted that this heightened violence could cause a surge of undocumented migrants coming into the U.S, “probably much more so than what he could deport.”

Many in Mexico think Trump will have to alter his proposals.

“Political reality will make it clear that many of the proposals against Mexicans are not feasible, neither the deportation of all undocumented migrants nor the construction of the wall,” the Mexico City Roman Catholic Archdiocese wrote in an article.

Although millions of immigrants in the United States illegally may ultimately face deportation, the means to locate and deport all of them probably won’t happen quickly.

Once he assumes office, Trump could push to have immigration agents immediately start apprehending people already under plans to leave for being in the U.S. illegally. As of 2015, there were about 88,000 people in that category.

However, for immigrants with no criminal past, a judge’s final deportation order could take years to complete. There are approximately 521,000 cases pending in federal immigration courts, according to records at the Transaction Records Access Clearinghouse at Syracuse University.

Payments are another concern since a Trump presidency might mean that Mexico might lose some of the billions sent home every year by immigrants working in the United States.

Migrants sent close to $25 billion to Mexico in 2015, and experts have noted that most of that went to support basic needs of the poorest Mexicans, Fox News Latino reported.

Mexico already has a shortage of 800,000 jobs for youths who enter the labor force each year, let alone returning migrants, according to Alejandra Barrales, the head of the leftist Democratic Revolution Party. “We need to close ranks and create opportunities, not just for people who might be deported, but for the 1.2 million young people who join the labor market each year.”

The government revealed an emergency plan aimed at encouraging business to hire returning immigrants, but Mexico City teacher Armando Osorio questioned whether that would be enough, given the government’s weak track record on job production.

“These people have no moral authority to say they will receive their countrymen with open arms,” Osorio added. “They are the ones who are responsible for the exodus of millions of Mexicans who don’t have enough to eat.”

Even if Trump scales back on the idea of mass deportations, the prospect remains terrifying for people in Mexico.

President-elect Trump stated in an interview on Sunday with 60 Minutes that “what we are going to do is get the people that are criminal and have criminal records, gang members, drug dealers, a lot of these people, it could be three million — and getting them out of our country.”

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